Pengembangan Dan Integrasi Aplikasi Prediksi Jumlah Gagal Produksi PC Meggunakan Metode Triple Exponential Smoothing Pada Sistem Aplikasi Produksi Di PT Tera Data Indonusa,Tbk

Abstract

Technology is developing day by day, and the market is becoming more mature and developed. Human life cannot be separated from the development of technology today. PC products at Pt Tera Data Indonusa Tbk are still experiencing production failures every day. Because of that prediction is done to find out the number of production failures that will come. The method used is Triple Exponential Smoothing. Data used in forecasting between January-July. The result of calculation with Mean Absolute Percentage Error on one PC product with Alpha 0.3, Beta 0.2, and Gamma 0.3 is 13.48%. Based on the MAPE value, the prediction of the number of failures using the Triple exponential smoothing method is good to be applied.

Keywords: prediction, data Mining, Triple exponential smoothing, PT Tera Data Indonusa Tbk.